Tuesday, October 30, 2007

Statistically Speaking - Hurricanes vs. Pack

Stat Miami Rank Stat NCSURank Advantage
Scoring Offense 70 Scoring D 69 Even
Rushing Offense 59 Rushing D 92 Miami
Passing Offense 98 Passin D 41 NC State
Total Offense 96 Total D 75 NC State

Stat Miami Rank Stat NCSURank Advantage
Scoring D 37 Scoring Off 89 Miami
Rushing D 46 RushingOff 110 Miami
Passin D 20 Passing Off 40 Miami
Total D 28 Total Off 95 Miami


On paper, it would appear to be advantage Miami. However, the Wolfpack over the last 2 games, against 2 teams w/ winning records, the Pack in addition to not turning the ball over (don't worry, they're still dead last in this department) - they're passing game has taken off AND they are stuffing the run. Counting the last 2 games only, here's how the Pack would rank:

Stat Avg Rank
Scoring Offense 31.5 39
Rushing Offense 66.5 117
Passing Off 341 5
Total Offense 407.5 46
Scoring D 22 40
Rushing D 83 8
Passin D 264.5 102
Total D 347.5 41

The last 2 games have been pretty simple for the Pack. They stop the run, they get ahead early, they move the ball effectively through the air - and they don't turn it over. They win. The only thing that's a fluke is the drastic change over how the played the first 6 games of the season.

Against Miami - the keys will be the same. However, Miami has more talent than the Hoos or the Pirates. Coaching - that may be another story. However, if the Pack can stop the run and not lose the TO battle, you have to like their chances.

Wednesday, October 24, 2007

Evans Shows Significant Improvement

Just some thoughts on Daniel Evans thus far. I wasn't sure that our OL could play good enough to give the Pack a chance to win.

With Evans - you know what you'll get. He throws an accurate, easy to catch ball - he's good at quick reads and quick throws. He's not going to win any games relying on his arm or his legs to make plays. The staff did a solid job against FSU 2 weeks ago but he made a couple of bad decisions late in the first half and early in the 3rd quarter. Against ECU, he played about as good as he can play.

Statistically, here's a comparision between this year and last year:
2007:
7 TDs vs. 6 INTs.
2006: 6 TDs and 11 INTs.

2007: Completion % 63.4% - 27th out of the 120 QBs rated.
2006: Completion 53.1% - 95 out of 110 QBs.

2007
- QB rating is 68th out of 120.
2006 - 104 out of 110.

So Evans has improved pretty significantly thus far. The bad news is that last year, he started off good and struggled at the finish. But w/ 5 games left, he's surpassed his TDs from last year. More importantly, the more I become convinced that he can't do the job, the better he plays. So on second thought - he's still terrible.